Ajaccio vs Clermont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
35%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2007 |
AJA
2 - 1
SED
34%
29%
37%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2007 |
ANG
1 - 0
AJA
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2007 |
AJA
1 - 1
GUI
47%
28%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2007 |
AJA
2 - 2
USB
50%
27%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2007 |
DIJ
1 - 1
AJA
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Clermont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2007 |
FCL
1 - 1
CLE
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2007 |
CLE
1 - 0
BRE
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2007 |
LUS
0 - 3
CLE
36%
25%
39%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2007 |
NAN
2 - 2
CLE
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2007 |
CLE
2 - 3
BAS
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |