Ajaccio vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
20.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
NÎM
2 - 0
AJA
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
CLE
3 - 0
AJA
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
AJA
1 - 2
IST
54%
26%
20%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
BRE
0 - 1
AJA
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
AJA
1 - 1
VAN
52%
26%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
BAS
2 - 0
SED
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
LHA
3 - 1
BAS
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
BAS
3 - 0
ARL
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
CHA
2 - 2
BAS
48%
28%
25%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
BAS
0 - 0
GUI
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |