Ajaccio vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1970 |
SOC
5 - 1
AJA
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
AJA
0 - 0
ANG
55%
24%
20%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1970 |
NIC
2 - 3
AJA
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1970 |
AJA
2 - 1
NAN
30%
25%
44%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1970 |
LYO
3 - 0
AJA
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1970 |
BAS
4 - 2
ASS
26%
21%
53%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1970 |
NÎM
2 - 0
BAS
63%
20%
17%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1970 |
BAS
3 - 1
STR
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1970 |
GIR
2 - 0
BAS
71%
16%
13%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1970 |
BAS
2 - 1
RED
59%
23%
19%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |