Ajaccio vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.1%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
47.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
AJA
3 - 0
MON
14%
26%
60%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
NAN
0 - 0
AJA
62%
23%
15%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2005 |
ASS
3 - 0
AJA
56%
25%
19%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
AJA
1 - 0
PSG
23%
29%
48%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
STR
1 - 0
AJA
64%
21%
14%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2005 |
CSK
4 - 0
AUX
45%
28%
27%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
AUX
2 - 1
NAN
57%
24%
19%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
PSG
1 - 0
AUX
45%
28%
28%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2005 |
AUX
0 - 0
LIL
58%
24%
17%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
AUX
2 - 2
MON
39%
27%
34%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |