Ajaccio vs AS Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
13%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
17.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
5.6%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2015 |
VAL
1 - 1
AJA
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
AJA
1 - 1
LEN
28%
26%
46%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
RED
1 - 1
AJA
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
BRE
1 - 2
AJA
12%
19%
69%
|
60 | 21 | 39 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
AJA
2 - 0
BOU
29%
27%
44%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
AS Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 0
POI
12%
18%
70%
|
13 | 44 | 31 | 0 |