Ajaccio vs Arles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
21.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2015 |
NÎM
1 - 1
AJA
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
AJA
2 - 1
BRE
35%
30%
35%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
ASN
2 - 0
AJA
59%
24%
18%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2015 |
AJA
2 - 3
ORL
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
ANG
1 - 0
AJA
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2015 |
ARL
4 - 1
ORL
32%
29%
39%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
TRO
4 - 0
ARL
72%
19%
9%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
ARL
2 - 0
LUS
25%
26%
49%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2015 |
DIJ
1 - 0
ARL
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
ARL
0 - 0
CLE
29%
28%
44%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |