Ajaccio U19 vs Olympique Marseille U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
29.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
8º
3º
47
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 48 |
2º
|
84% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
54.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 40 |
5º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
42% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
55% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
77% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
77% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 16% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 84% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
BLA
3 - 0
AJA
6%
12%
82%
|
30 | 11 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
AJA
2 - 0
IST
73%
16%
11%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
TOU
3 - 1
AJA
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
AJA
2 - 0
NIC
40%
24%
36%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 1
AJA
19%
19%
63%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 1
OLY
80%
14%
7%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
OLY
1 - 1
BEZ
57%
20%
24%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
OLY
0 - 6
SPO
17%
21%
62%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
OLY
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
OLY
3 - 5
MON
18%
21%
61%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -2 |