Ajaccio U19 vs Montpellier U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
47.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
8º
3º
48
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 48 |
2º
|
84% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
54.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 40 |
5º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
42% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
55% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
77% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
77% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 84% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 16% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MON
2 - 0
AJA
80%
12%
8%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
AJA
2 - 1
OLY
47%
24%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
BLA
3 - 0
AJA
6%
12%
82%
|
30 | 11 | 19 | -3 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
AJA
2 - 0
IST
73%
16%
11%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
TOU
3 - 1
AJA
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Montpellier U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MON
2 - 0
BEZ
62%
19%
19%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MON
2 - 1
ETI
40%
23%
37%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
MON
76%
15%
9%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
OLY
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BLA
0 - 2
MON
8%
15%
78%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | 0 |