Ajaccio U17 vs Cavigal Nice Sub 17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
18.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
6º
5º
48
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
6º
|
70.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
70.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 32 |
8º
|
99% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 29 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
79.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ASP
3 - 2
AJA
11%
16%
73%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AJA
3 - 0
DUC
81%
12%
7%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 6
AJA
16%
19%
66%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
AJA
0 - 1
GAZ
84%
11%
5%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 0
AJA
24%
21%
55%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Cavigal Nice Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
3 - 1
BEZ
78%
13%
9%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
3 - 3
STN
28%
21%
51%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ASP
0 - 2
CAN
18%
19%
62%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CAN
2 - 2
DUC
71%
16%
13%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 1
CAN
28%
22%
51%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |