Ajaccio II vs Orléans II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
8º
7º
32
2º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 0
AJA
36%
23%
41%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
AJA
1 - 0
MAI
90%
8%
3%
|
36 | 8 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
AJA
1 - 2
CAN
27%
27%
46%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
RSV
4 - 0
AJA
44%
25%
32%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
AJA
1 - 1
CAS
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Orléans II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ORL
2 - 0
MAI
87%
9%
4%
|
23 | 7 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ESA
2 - 2
ORL
71%
16%
13%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
TOU
4 - 0
ORL
68%
18%
14%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
CSL
1 - 0
ORL
48%
24%
28%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
ORL
2 - 0
MON
66%
19%
15%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |