Ajaccio II vs ES Pennoise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
27.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
FEU
1 - 2
AJA
42%
27%
31%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
AJA
1 - 2
FRE
43%
26%
31%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
AND
1 - 0
AJA
56%
23%
20%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
AJA
1 - 1
SPO
51%
25%
24%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
GRA
0 - 1
AJA
49%
24%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
ES Pennoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 1
AUB
43%
24%
33%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
0 - 3
ESP
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 1
VAU
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
AGD
1 - 2
ESP
65%
20%
14%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ESP
0 - 3
NIC
37%
25%
38%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |