Ajaccio II vs Athlético Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
72.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
SCR
2 - 0
AJA
67%
19%
15%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
GAZ
1 - 1
AJA
77%
16%
7%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
AJA
0 - 2
FUR
18%
23%
59%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -3 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
NIC
1 - 0
AJA
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
AJA
2 - 0
IST
29%
23%
48%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +3 |
Matches
Athlético Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
CON
1 - 1
RSV
85%
11%
4%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
CAN
69%
19%
13%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
FUR
2 - 1
CON
23%
24%
53%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CON
1 - 3
NIC
81%
13%
6%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
IST
2 - 1
CON
12%
19%
69%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | -2 |