Ajaccio II vs Castanet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
24.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
AUB
4 - 2
AJA
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
AJA
2 - 3
CAE
72%
15%
13%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
EVR
0 - 0
AJA
44%
24%
32%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
AJA
8 - 1
GON
84%
11%
6%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
UJA
3 - 2
AJA
22%
26%
52%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 1
TOU
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
PAU
3 - 3
CAS
62%
20%
19%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 1
VIL
46%
22%
31%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 2
ANG
50%
22%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
NIO
0 - 3
CAS
65%
19%
17%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +2 |