Ajaccio II vs Brétigny Foot analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
33.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
9º
9º
24
2º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 52 |
1º
|
70% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 44 |
2º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 44 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
|
2º
|
24 | 42 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 41 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 40 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 39 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 39 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
|
4º
|
23 | 38 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 28 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 26 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 25 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 24 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 23 |
14º
|
38% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 7% |
|
Mid-table
|
83.5% | 86% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9.5% | 5% |
|
Relegation
|
6% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
AJA
0 - 0
ESA
37%
24%
39%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
CAE
6 - 0
AJA
27%
23%
50%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
AJA
2 - 1
ALE
50%
23%
26%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
AJA
3 - 2
CHA
58%
21%
21%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
OIS
2 - 1
AJA
43%
25%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Brétigny Foot
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
BRE
0 - 1
CHA
59%
20%
21%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
LCC
0 - 0
BRE
17%
20%
64%
|
38 | 8 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
OIS
0 - 1
BRE
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
BRE
2 - 1
ESA
42%
23%
35%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
BRE
2 - 2
GOB
10%
20%
70%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | 0 |