Ajaccio II vs Balagne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
30.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
8º
7º
56
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SML
3 - 0
AJA
43%
26%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
AJA
2 - 0
BRE
67%
18%
15%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
IVR
1 - 2
AJA
21%
23%
56%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
AJA
2 - 0
NEU
86%
10%
4%
|
36 | 10 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 4
AJA
23%
22%
55%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Balagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 3
BRE
66%
19%
16%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
NEU
1 - 4
BAL
10%
16%
74%
|
36 | 11 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MAI
2 - 1
BAL
8%
14%
78%
|
37 | 7 | 30 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
ESA
62%
19%
18%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 4
BAL
23%
21%
56%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |