Aix les Bains vs Montluçon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
10.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
5º
13º
12º
10
13º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
57% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
92% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
92% | |
|
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aix les Bains
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
AIX
0 - 1
CHA
29%
23%
48%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
LDU
1 - 1
AIX
33%
23%
44%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
AIX
1 - 0
HAL
40%
22%
38%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
VAU
3 - 0
AIX
41%
22%
37%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
RVA
3 - 0
AIX
74%
17%
10%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Montluçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
MON
0 - 1
SAE
15%
20%
66%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
FEU
34%
25%
40%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LDU
2 - 0
MON
57%
22%
21%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
HAL
21%
21%
59%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VAU
3 - 1
MON
65%
20%
15%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |