Airdrieonians vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
49.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Airdrieonians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
RAI
0 - 1
AIR
58%
21%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
AIR
1 - 1
PAR
34%
25%
41%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
AIR
1 - 0
STJ
44%
24%
32%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
AIR
1 - 0
RAI
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2024 |
AIR
2 - 0
ICT
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
STJ
0 - 1
HOM
19%
26%
56%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 3
HOM
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
HOM
2 - 0
ABE
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
HOM
3 - 2
DUN
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 2
HOM
10%
18%
72%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |