Scottish Championship Promotion Final
Global 2-2
Airdrieonians vs Hamilton Academical analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
13.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Airdrieonians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
FAL
0 - 1
AIR
37%
24%
39%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
AIR
6 - 2
FAL
50%
22%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
EDI
1 - 4
AIR
27%
25%
48%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
AIR
1 - 3
QOS
62%
20%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
AIR
1 - 1
DUN
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Hamilton Academical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
HAM
5 - 2
ALL
43%
24%
34%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
ALL
1 - 0
HAM
44%
24%
32%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
ARB
0 - 0
HAM
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
HAM
2 - 2
PAR
27%
26%
47%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
HAM
1 - 2
ICT
20%
24%
55%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |