Airdrieonians vs Gretna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
59.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Airdrieonians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
CLY
0 - 0
AIR
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
DUN
1 - 0
AIR
55%
25%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
AIR
2 - 1
STJ
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
HAM
2 - 1
AIR
62%
23%
14%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
AIR
0 - 1
LIV
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Gretna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
GRE
2 - 0
STJ
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
GRE
4 - 0
PAR
73%
16%
10%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
LIV
1 - 2
GRE
23%
23%
54%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
GRE
5 - 0
QOS
79%
14%
7%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
DUN
1 - 3
GRE
24%
24%
52%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |