Airdrieonians vs Gretna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
55.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Airdrieonians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
DUN
2 - 1
AIR
56%
25%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
PAR
0 - 1
AIR
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
AIR
1 - 2
STJ
29%
26%
46%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
AIR
3 - 1
LIV
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
HAM
3 - 0
AIR
58%
25%
17%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Gretna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
GRE
2 - 0
PAR
77%
15%
8%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
LIV
1 - 1
GRE
20%
22%
58%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
DUN
0 - 1
GRE
28%
24%
48%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
GRE
0 - 3
QOS
76%
15%
9%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
CLY
2 - 0
GRE
27%
25%
48%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |