Airdrieonians vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
20.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
3º
7º
4º
44
5º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Airdrieonians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
AIR
1 - 4
HOM
27%
24%
49%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
RAI
0 - 1
AIR
58%
21%
21%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
AIR
1 - 1
PAR
34%
25%
41%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
AIR
1 - 0
STJ
44%
24%
32%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
AIR
1 - 0
RAI
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
GLA
2 - 0
AYR
76%
15%
9%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
AYR
1 - 2
DUN
24%
27%
49%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
QUE
1 - 2
AYR
33%
26%
41%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
AYR
2 - 0
ARB
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
AYR
3 - 0
KHE
47%
24%
30%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |