Airdrieonians vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
3º
7º
4º
44
5º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Airdrieonians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
GRE
0 - 1
AIR
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
AIR
1 - 0
RAI
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ARB
4 - 0
AIR
27%
26%
46%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
STI
2 - 3
AIR
10%
16%
74%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 0
AIR
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
AYR
1 - 2
RAI
30%
28%
42%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
QUE
2 - 5
AYR
46%
26%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
AYR
0 - 4
PAR
22%
25%
53%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
AYR
0 - 1
FAL
34%
24%
41%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ARB
2 - 1
AYR
29%
27%
44%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |