Airbus UK vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
39.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
AIR
2 - 2
NEW
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
AIR
3 - 2
TNS
39%
25%
35%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
CON
2 - 1
AIR
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
POR
0 - 7
AIR
36%
25%
39%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +4 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
BAL
3 - 1
AIR
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
LLA
1 - 5
TNS
28%
25%
46%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
AIR
3 - 2
TNS
39%
25%
35%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
TNS
2 - 0
BAL
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
TNS
5 - 0
CON
54%
22%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
TNS
1 - 2
NEW
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |