Airbus UK vs Rhos Aelwyd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
12.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FLI
1 - 0
AIR
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
AIR
2 - 0
RTW
65%
19%
16%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
DEN
2 - 0
AIR
29%
23%
49%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
AIR
2 - 1
LLA
46%
23%
31%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 5
AIR
11%
15%
74%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Rhos Aelwyd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 4
AEL
21%
18%
61%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
HOL
1 - 0
AEL
47%
21%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
RHY
3 - 0
AEL
88%
8%
3%
|
16 | 45 | 29 | +16 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
CAE
4 - 1
AEL
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
AEL
2 - 3
PEN
16%
19%
66%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | -1 |