Airbus UK vs Pontypridd United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
56.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
5º
6º
6º
38
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
38 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
44 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 13 |
4º
|
71% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 12 |
5º
|
71% | |
|
|
6º
|
2 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
HAV
4 - 0
AIR
73%
17%
9%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
FLI
2 - 1
AIR
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
AIR
1 - 7
ABE
25%
22%
53%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
AIR
0 - 2
CAE
19%
21%
60%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PON
4 - 0
AIR
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FLI
0 - 0
PON
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PON
1 - 0
CAE
28%
24%
48%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
PON
2 - 1
HAV
29%
25%
47%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ABE
3 - 3
PON
55%
22%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PON
4 - 0
AIR
66%
19%
15%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |