Airbus UK vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
AIR
3 - 2
TNS
39%
25%
35%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
CON
2 - 1
AIR
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
POR
0 - 7
AIR
36%
25%
39%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +4 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
BAL
3 - 1
AIR
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
AIR
3 - 4
LLA
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
NEW
3 - 2
CON
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
LLA
3 - 2
NEW
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
TNS
1 - 2
NEW
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +3 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
NEW
2 - 2
BAL
32%
25%
43%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
NEW
0 - 3
AIR
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |