Airbus UK vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
22.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 1
AIR
40%
26%
35%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
AIR
1 - 2
TNS
18%
24%
58%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
AIR
1 - 1
ABE
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
LID
0 - 0
AIR
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
AIR
2 - 4
BAN
18%
22%
60%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
NEW
2 - 1
LID
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
BAN
4 - 0
NEW
80%
14%
7%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 4
NEA
25%
25%
50%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
LLA
9 - 2
NEW
86%
10%
4%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
NEW
1 - 2
PRE
30%
24%
45%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |