Airbus UK vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
AIR
2 - 2
NEA
45%
26%
30%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
PRE
1 - 1
AIR
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2010 |
AIR
2 - 2
TNS
27%
25%
48%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
HAV
4 - 0
AIR
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
TNS
2 - 0
AIR
71%
17%
13%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
BAN
5 - 2
NEW
82%
13%
5%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
NEW
0 - 0
POR
33%
26%
40%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
NEW
0 - 1
CAR
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
LLA
2 - 1
NEW
82%
12%
6%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
NEW
1 - 1
BAL
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |