Airbus UK vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
19.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
HAV
0 - 2
AIR
29%
26%
46%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
AIR
1 - 1
BAL
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ABE
2 - 0
AIR
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
AIR
0 - 0
CAR
62%
21%
18%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
NEW
1 - 0
AIR
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
NEW
1 - 0
ABE
41%
26%
34%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
NEW
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
NEW
2 - 1
BAL
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
HAV
1 - 4
NEW
45%
25%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
NEW
1 - 0
AIR
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |