Airbus UK vs Neath Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
53.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
LLA
1 - 1
AIR
85%
11%
4%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
AIR
2 - 1
PRE
34%
24%
42%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
POR
2 - 1
AIR
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
AIR
3 - 2
NEW
56%
22%
23%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 1
AIR
40%
26%
35%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Neath Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
NEA
1 - 1
LID
76%
16%
9%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BAN
2 - 1
NEA
58%
22%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
ABE
1 - 1
NEA
19%
24%
57%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
NEA
3 - 1
PRE
63%
20%
17%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
POR
1 - 2
NEA
30%
27%
44%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |