Airbus UK vs Guilsfield FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
22.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 3
AIR
53%
23%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 1
AIR
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
ABE
5 - 3
AIR
63%
20%
18%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
AIR
2 - 3
CEF
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
NEW
0 - 0
AIR
68%
19%
14%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Guilsfield FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
CON
1 - 2
GUI
24%
23%
54%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
GUI
1 - 0
GRE
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
GUI
3 - 2
LLA
66%
20%
15%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
LLA
0 - 3
GUI
24%
23%
54%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
GUI
3 - 1
PEN
74%
17%
9%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |