Airbus UK vs Denbigh Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
10.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MOL
0 - 3
AIR
36%
24%
41%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
AIR
6 - 0
PRE
84%
10%
6%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
RTW
2 - 3
AIR
20%
21%
59%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
AIR
3 - 0
FLI
32%
24%
45%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CAE
3 - 3
AIR
16%
20%
64%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Denbigh Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
DEN
4 - 3
PRE
70%
16%
14%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
DEN
2 - 2
GUI
51%
22%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BUC
1 - 2
DEN
32%
24%
45%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
DEN
3 - 1
POR
81%
11%
8%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
DEN
4 - 1
LLA
48%
22%
30%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |