Airbus UK vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
13.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
LLA
2 - 4
AIR
61%
21%
18%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
AIR
3 - 0
POR
68%
18%
14%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
AIR
2 - 1
NEW
67%
19%
15%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
AIR
5 - 0
POR
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
BAN
2 - 0
AIR
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
TNS
5 - 1
CON
82%
12%
6%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
CON
4 - 2
LLA
25%
22%
53%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
LID
2 - 1
CON
35%
24%
41%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
ABE
3 - 0
CON
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
CON
2 - 1
NEW
55%
21%
23%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |