Airbus UK vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
LOK
2 - 2
AIR
63%
21%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
AIR
1 - 3
LOK
36%
24%
40%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
AIR
2 - 1
NEW
62%
20%
18%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
AIR
6 - 1
NEW
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
AIR
1 - 0
TNS
37%
25%
37%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CEF
0 - 1
CAR
30%
25%
45%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CON
2 - 1
CAR
50%
23%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 3
RHY
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
5 - 2
PRE
66%
19%
15%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
BAN
1 - 0
CAR
46%
24%
31%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |