Airbus UK vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
17.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 0
AIR
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
AIR
4 - 1
PRE
63%
20%
17%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
AIR
2 - 0
POR
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
BAN
2 - 0
AIR
69%
18%
13%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
BAN
1 - 0
AIR
65%
18%
17%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 0
AIR
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
TNS
3 - 0
CAR
78%
15%
8%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 2
PRE
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
POR
1 - 0
CAR
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 3
PRE
48%
22%
30%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |