Airbus UK vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
21.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
TNS
1 - 0
AIR
85%
11%
4%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
LID
1 - 2
AIR
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
ABE
2 - 0
AIR
47%
26%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
AIR
2 - 2
POR
58%
23%
20%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
AIR
0 - 1
CAR
69%
18%
14%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 0
ABE
41%
25%
35%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
POR
0 - 1
CAR
53%
24%
24%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 2
LID
35%
25%
39%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
AIR
0 - 1
CAR
69%
18%
14%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
NEW
2 - 1
CAR
57%
22%
22%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |