Airbus UK vs Caernarfon Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
55.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
9º
12º
12º
25
3º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
AIR
0 - 2
CAR
15%
25%
60%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 0
AIR
76%
16%
8%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
AIR
0 - 8
TNS
10%
19%
71%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
TNS
7 - 0
AIR
89%
8%
3%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 1
AIR
84%
11%
5%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
PEN
5 - 1
CAE
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2023 |
CAE
0 - 1
TNS
29%
24%
47%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
BAL
3 - 0
CAE
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
CAE
1 - 5
BAL
34%
25%
41%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
FLI
2 - 1
CAE
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |