Airbus UK vs Caernarfon Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
60.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
5º
6º
6º
40
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
38 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
44 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 13 |
4º
|
71% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 12 |
5º
|
71% | |
|
|
6º
|
2 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PON
4 - 0
AIR
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CON
5 - 0
AIR
81%
14%
5%
|
41 | 66 | 25 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 1
AIR
78%
16%
6%
|
41 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
PON
1 - 1
AIR
21%
21%
58%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
AIR
0 - 3
CAE
23%
22%
56%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CAE
2 - 0
HAV
50%
24%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ABE
2 - 1
CAE
33%
24%
43%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
AIR
0 - 3
CAE
23%
22%
56%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
PEN
5 - 1
CAE
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2023 |
CAE
0 - 1
TNS
29%
24%
47%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |