Airbus UK vs Bala Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
60.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
9º
12º
12º
40
2º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 1
AIR
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
AIR
4 - 4
NEW
18%
23%
59%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PON
1 - 0
AIR
39%
23%
37%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
CAE
3 - 1
AIR
74%
16%
10%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
AIR
1 - 3
FLI
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 2
BAL
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 0
CAR
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
CAE
1 - 4
BAL
43%
23%
35%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FLI
1 - 1
BAL
27%
26%
47%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
ABE
1 - 4
BAL
23%
25%
52%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |