League Cup Last 16
Global 5-3
Airbus UK vs Bala Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
31.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
AIR
1 - 2
BAL
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 0
AIR
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
NEW
1 - 3
AIR
38%
25%
36%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
AIR
3 - 1
CAR
71%
17%
12%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
WRE
1 - 2
AIR
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
BAL
3 - 1
LID
58%
23%
20%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
AIR
1 - 2
BAL
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 0
AIR
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2011 |
BAN
2 - 1
BAL
79%
14%
7%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
MTS
0 - 6
BAL
11%
19%
70%
|
51 | 7 | 44 | 0 |