Airbus UK vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
23.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
AIR
1 - 0
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 2
AIR
23%
25%
52%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +2 |
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
AIR
2 - 3
COL
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
AIR
1 - 2
RUN
86%
10%
3%
|
60 | 27 | 33 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
AIR
1 - 1
BAR
62%
21%
18%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
TNS
2 - 1
ABE
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
LID
0 - 1
ABE
14%
20%
66%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ABE
4 - 0
BAN
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
ABE
48%
24%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
ABE
3 - 1
HAV
70%
17%
13%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |