Airbus UK vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
AIR
0 - 1
TNS
23%
23%
54%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
AIR
3 - 1
CAR
64%
19%
17%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
AIR
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
TNS
2 - 1
AIR
81%
12%
7%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
NEW
0 - 4
AIR
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ABE
0 - 1
CEF
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
ABE
1 - 1
POR
49%
25%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
ABE
2 - 2
CAR
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
ABE
1 - 0
LID
43%
24%
33%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
ABE
1 - 1
LLA
68%
18%
13%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |