Air Force Central vs Samut Songkhram analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
29.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Air Force Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
CHI
2 - 0
AIR
66%
20%
13%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
AIR
2 - 2
PTT
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
BAN
2 - 0
AIR
63%
21%
15%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
AIR
0 - 0
BEC
27%
27%
46%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
RAT
2 - 0
AIR
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Samut Songkhram
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 2
CHO
29%
27%
44%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
BUR
1 - 1
SAM
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 3
SUP
37%
30%
34%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
SIN
3 - 0
SAM
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
CHI
4 - 2
SAM
57%
25%
19%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |