Air Force vs UNLV Rebels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Air Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
AFF
2 - 0
DXS
85%
10%
5%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SUR
2 - 1
AFF
43%
22%
34%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
AFF
5 - 2
UIW
84%
11%
5%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
AFF
2 - 1
RGV
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
HBH
1 - 2
AFF
6%
13%
82%
|
32 | 8 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
UNLV Rebels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
GCU
2 - 1
NLV
84%
11%
5%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
UVL
4 - 1
NLV
61%
20%
19%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
NLV
2 - 1
CST
83%
11%
6%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
NLV
2 - 1
HBH
89%
8%
3%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
SJS
2 - 0
NLV
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |