Air Force vs San José State analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
35.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Air Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
AFF
1 - 2
STH
38%
22%
40%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
GCU
0 - 3
AFF
68%
17%
15%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
RGV
0 - 1
AFF
58%
20%
22%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
SJS
2 - 2
AFF
60%
19%
21%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
HBH
1 - 2
AFF
6%
13%
82%
|
26 | 8 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
San José State
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
SJS
2 - 2
AFF
60%
19%
21%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
NLV
0 - 1
SJS
24%
21%
56%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
SJS
2 - 1
UIW
85%
10%
5%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
SJS
3 - 2
UVL
69%
17%
14%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
SJS
4 - 0
CBL
59%
20%
22%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +2 |