Air Force vs UT Rio Grande Valley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
42.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Air Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
SUR
1 - 0
AFF
58%
20%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
AFF
0 - 1
GCU
35%
22%
43%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
UVL
3 - 1
AFF
28%
21%
50%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
AFF
0 - 0
NLV
78%
13%
9%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
AFF
4 - 0
DXS
88%
8%
3%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
UT Rio Grande Valley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
RGV
1 - 1
SJS
54%
21%
26%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
RGV
3 - 1
NLV
76%
14%
10%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
RGV
3 - 1
UVL
65%
18%
17%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
RGV
0 - 0
CBL
60%
19%
21%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
RGV
1 - 0
SUR
43%
22%
35%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |