Aiolikos vs PAOK B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
39.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
4º
11º
11º
30
1º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 36 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 36 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 35 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 34 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 33 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
8º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 27 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 26 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 21 |
12º
|
35% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
13º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 34.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
52% | 65.5% |
|
Relegation
|
48% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aiolikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
LAR
2 - 0
MYT
77%
17%
6%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
MYT
1 - 1
ANA
37%
29%
34%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
MKN
1 - 1
MYT
51%
26%
23%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MYT
0 - 0
MAK
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
MYT
1 - 1
IRA
26%
27%
47%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
PAOK B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2024 |
PTF
1 - 1
IRA
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2024 |
AEK
1 - 0
PTF
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2024 |
KAM
2 - 0
PTF
29%
24%
48%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
APO
0 - 1
PTF
26%
24%
50%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2023 |
NIK
3 - 2
PTF
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |