Aiolikos vs Iraklis Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
47.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
4º
11º
11º
29
4º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 36 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 36 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 35 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 34 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 33 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
8º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 27 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 26 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 21 |
12º
|
35% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
13º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 20% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
52% | 80% |
|
Relegation
|
48% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aiolikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
AEK
2 - 1
MYT
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MYT
4 - 2
KAM
50%
25%
26%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
APO
0 - 1
MYT
45%
27%
28%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
MYT
0 - 2
NIK
26%
29%
45%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
LEV
2 - 0
MYT
83%
13%
4%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Iraklis Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
IRA
1 - 1
MAK
53%
24%
22%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
IRA
1 - 0
AEK
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
KAM
1 - 3
IRA
26%
25%
49%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
IRA
0 - 1
APO
73%
18%
9%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
NIK
3 - 1
IRA
39%
28%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |