Aiolikos vs Apollon Smyrnis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
54.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aiolikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
FCM
1 - 0
MYT
74%
17%
9%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
MYT
0 - 0
ACH
74%
17%
9%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
MYT
3 - 1
PFC
54%
21%
25%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
NEA
0 - 0
MYT
31%
24%
45%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2019 |
MYT
2 - 0
PAS
66%
21%
14%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Apollon Smyrnis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
APS
3 - 1
PAN
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
APS
3 - 0
ERG
79%
15%
7%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
APS
0 - 3
LAM
27%
31%
42%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
XAN
2 - 0
APS
71%
21%
8%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
APS
0 - 1
PGE
24%
28%
48%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |