Ain Sud vs Lyon-Duchère analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.2%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
78.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.1%
0-2
16.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.4%
0-3
12.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
16.2%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.7%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
11º
14º
13º
47
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ain Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
ESM
5 - 0
AIN
22%
21%
57%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
OLY
2 - 2
AIN
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
AIN
3 - 0
LIM
25%
24%
51%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +3 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
AIN
2 - 4
FEU
47%
24%
29%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CDE
1 - 1
AIN
14%
18%
69%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Lyon-Duchère
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
LYO
1 - 2
LPV
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
LYO
4 - 0
HAL
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
LYO
2 - 1
THO
45%
24%
32%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
LIM
0 - 4
LYO
11%
19%
71%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
LYO
0 - 0
ESM
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 14 | 35 | +1 |